In the mid-1990s Federal Express had a problem. Though the company's safety record was exemplary, regulators had proposed new rules that would have posed an operational nightmare for the giant shipper. The company flew Boeing 727 air freighters that each accommodated eight containers. Though they [...]
A popular investment worth avoiding
Albert Einstein once said, “Everything should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler." When it comes to investing, I have always believed that the simplest approach is the best approach. But, in recent years, a new type of investment has, I believe, crossed over into the “too simple” [...]
Being too sure
In 1900, the noted physicist Lord Kelvin declared, “There is nothing new to be discovered in physics now.” In the annals of inaccurate proclamations, this one stands out. Just a few years later, Einstein published his Theory of Relativity and, in the following years, proceeded to upend many of the [...]
The value of alternatives
A few days ago the stock market again hit a new all-time high. But instead of feeling unalloyed glee, many investors seem to be struggling with mixed emotions. They are, of course, thrilled at their gains. But at the same time, they are hesitant to invest further into a market that has already [...]
The opposite of Nostradamus
Over the course of his lifetime, the self-proclaimed fortune teller Nostradamus published more than six thousand different predictions. With the benefit of hindsight, it is easy to see that there was little substance or predictive value in all of those prophecies. In fact, in his day, even the [...]
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