In 2005, the comedian Stephen Colbert popularized the word “truthiness.” This term, if you're not familiar with it, refers to something which seems like it should be true but isn't actually supported by evidence. Are stock market pundits guilty of truthiness? To answer this question, [...]
Looking back, looking forward
I hope you are enjoying the holidays and looking forward to the new year. But before we turn the page on 2018, I thought I would recap some of the topics that were of most interest to readers this year: The market Warren Buffett once compared the stock market to an unstable, irrational [...]
The power of intuition
Robert Soros, son of billionaire hedge fund manager George Soros, has a surprising explanation for his father's success: “You know the reason he changes his position on the market or whatever,” Robert says, “is because his back starts killing him.” You read that right: The junior Soros attributes [...]
What’s going to happen
This week I received some odd communications from mutual fund giant Vanguard Group. First, they sent a white paper titled, “Here today, gone tomorrow: The impact of economic surprises on asset returns.” As the title suggests, this paper examined the relationship between the economy and the stock [...]
Picture perfect
Pablo Picasso was one of the most influential, prolific and financially successful artists of the twentieth century. Yet, if you had visited his studio at the peak of his career, you might have guessed otherwise. In short, it was a mess, and his work schedule was, at best, leisurely. On a normal [...]
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