On January 10, 2000, America Online co-founder Steve Case stood on stage in New York to announce the largest corporate takeover in American history, buying venerable Time Warner for $165 billion. At the time of the announcement, commentators called it the merger of the century. But just five years [...]
Bear Market Field Guide, Part VIII
I have a big problem with a small word. But before I get to that, I’ll start with a little bit of history. In his book The Success Equation, Michael Mauboussin tells this story: Back in the 1970s, a Spanish man won the country’s biggest national lottery, called El Gordo—the Big One. Awarded [...]
The bet
In his company's 2006 annual report, Warren Buffett devoted several paragraphs to a scathing criticism of the hedge fund industry. Their fees, Buffett wrote, were so exorbitant and so stacked against investors that they amounted to a “grotesque arrangement.” For that reason, Buffett frequently [...]
The Magazine Cover Indicator
It’s that time of year again—when magazine editors put on their Nostradamus hats to offer up get-rich-quick schemes for the new year. “What China’s Best Investor is Buying Now,” reads the cover of Fortune, along with “40 Stocks for the New Decade.” And they even praise perennially unpopular Goldman [...]
Yet another reason
Sometimes I feel like a broken record when I talk about the benefits of index funds. And to be honest, index fund advocates—myself included—are sometimes guilty of being a little preachy. So I won’t bore you with the same facts I’ve cited before. But the stock market’s behavior this year is worth [...]
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