In 1900, the noted physicist Lord Kelvin declared, “There is nothing new to be discovered in physics now.” In the annals of inaccurate proclamations, this one stands out. Just a few years later, Einstein published his Theory of Relativity and, in the following years, proceeded to upend many of the [...]
Succeeding like Kanye
Kanye West, it turns out, is one heck of an investor. According to a recent analysis, a group of West's stock picks this year has beaten the overall market by forty percentage points. It's an astonishing result. What, if anything, can we learn from it? First, some background: As you may know, West [...]
Great Eight
In 2013 a curious thing happened in Stockholm. The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences awarded the Nobel Prize in economics to three academics who had developed theories about stock prices. What was odd was that two of the recipients — Eugene Fama and Robert Shiller — couldn't have been more opposed [...]
The opposite of Nostradamus
Over the course of his lifetime, the self-proclaimed fortune teller Nostradamus published more than six thousand different predictions. With the benefit of hindsight, it is easy to see that there was little substance or predictive value in all of those prophecies. In fact, in his day, even the [...]
Financial tipping points
In the field of epidemiology, researchers have long used the term “tipping point” to describe how epidemics occur: At first, an ordinary disease moves slowly, not gaining much attention. But then, at a certain point, seemingly overnight, it snowballs into something much larger. Within the world of [...]
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